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Floods & Climate change

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Publications by year: 2011 - 2010 - 2009 - 2008 - 2007 - 2006 - 2005 - 2004 - 2003 - 2002 - 2001

 

2011

Papers

  • Feyen, L., R. Dankers, K. Bódis, P. Salamon, J.I. Barredo, 2011. Fluvial flood risk in Europe in present and future climates, Climatic Change, DOI 10.1007/s10584-011-0339-7
  • Rojas, R., L. Feyen, A. Dosio, D. Bavera, 2011. Improving pan-european hydrological simulation of extreme events through statistical bias correction of RCM-driven climate simulations. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2599-2620.
  • Ciscar, J.-C., A. Iglesias, L. Feyen, L. Szabó, D. Van Regemorter, B. Amelung, R. Nicholls, P. Watkiss, O.B. Christensen, R. Dankers, L. Garrote, C.M. Goodess, A. Hunt, A. Moreno, J. Richards, A. Soria, 2011. Physical and economic consequences of climate change in Europe. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 108 (7), pp. 2678-2683.
  • Bogner, K., F. Pappenberger, and H. L. Cloke. Technical note: The normal quantile transformation and its application in a flood forecasting system. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, 8(5):9275-9297, 2011
  • Bogner, K., H.L. Cloke, F. Pappenberger, A. De Roo, and J. Thielen. Improving the evaluation of hydrological multi-model forecast performance in the Upper Danube Catchment. International Journal of River Basin Management, 2011
  • A. De Roo, J. Thielen, P. Salamon, Bogner, K., S. Nobert, H.L. Cloke, D.Demeritt, J. Younis, M. Kalas, K. Bodis, Muraro D., and F. Pappenberger. Quality Control, Validation and User Feedback of the European Flood Alert System (EFAS). International Journal of Digital Earth, 4(sup1):77-90, 2011
  • Bogner, K. and F. Pappenberger. Multiscale error analysis, correction, and predictive uncertainty estimation in a flood forecasting system. Water Resources Research, 47(7), W07524, doi:10.1029/2010WR009137, 2011
  • F. Pappenberger, Bogner, K., F. Wetterhall, Y. He, H. L. Cloke, and J.Thielen. Forecast convergence score: a forecaster's approach to analysing hydro-meteorological forecast systems. Advances in Geosciences, 29:27-32, 2011
  • J. Thielen, F. Pappenberger, P. Salamon, Bogner, K., P. Burek, and A. De Roo. State of the Art of Flood Forecasting: From Deterministic to Probabilistic Approaches. In Flood Hazards: Impacts and Responses for the Built Environment. Taylor and Francis, Proverbs, D. and Lamond, J. and Hammond, F. and Booth, C. (Eds.), 2011
  • Burek P, Thielen Del Pozo J, Thiemig V, De Roo A. Das Europäische Hochwasser-Frühwarnsystem (EFAS). Korrespondenz Wasserwirtschaft 4/11; 2011. p. 193-199. JRC61562
  • Thiemig V, Burek P, Thielen Del Pozo J, De Roo A. Hochwasservorhersage in Afrika: Kann die Methode des Europäischen Hochwasser-Frühwarnsystems auf Afrikanische Einzugsgebiete Übertragen Werden. Korrespondenz Wasserwirtschaft 4; 2011. p. 200-205. JRC61442
  • Alfieri L, Velasco D, Thielen Del Pozo J. Flash flood detection through a multi-stage probabilistic warning system for heavy precipitation events. Advances in Geosciences 29; 2011. p. 69-75. JRC59819
  • Alfieri L, Smith P, Thielen Del Pozo J, Beven K. A staggered approach to flash flood forecasting - case study in the Cévennes region. Advances in Geosciences 29; 2011. p. 13-20. JRC59780
  • Pappenberger F, Bogner K, Wetterhall F, Yi H, Cloke H, Thielen Del Pozo J. Forecast convergence score: a forecaster`s approach to analysing hydro-meteorological forecast systems. Advances in Geosciences 29; 2011. p. 27-32. JRC59328
  • Pappenberger F, Thielen Del Pozo J, Del Medico M. The impact of weather forecast improvements on large scale hydrology: analysing a decade of forecasts of the European Flood Alert System. HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES 25 (7); 2011. p. 1091–1113. JRC55592
  • Thielen J., F. Pappenberger, P. Salamon, K. Bogner, P. Burek, A. de Roo (2011) State of the art of flood forecasting – from deterministic to probabilistic approaches, In: “Flood Hazards: Impacts and Responses for the Built Environment, Eds: Lamond, J., Booth, C., Hammond, F., Proverbs D., Francis and Taylor, 371 pp,
  • Thiemig V, Pappenberger F, Thielen Del Pozo J, Gadain H, De Roo A, Del Medico M, Bodis K, Muthusi F. Ensemble Flood Forecasting in Africa: A Feasibility Study in the Juba-Shabelle River Basin. ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS 11 (2); 2010. p. 132-138. JRC55599

2010

Papers

2009

Papers

2008

Papers

  • Thielen Del Pozo J, Salamon P, De Roo A. Geographical Information Systems - An Integral Part of the European Flood Alert System (EFAS). Geo-Focus (8); 2008. p. 12-16.
  • Bogner, K. and Kalas, M. (2008) Error correction methods and evaluation of an ensemble based hydrological forecasting system for the Upper Danube catchment, Atmos. Sci. Let. 9, 95–102
  • Thielen, J. J. Schaake, R. Hartman and R. Buizza (2008) Aims, challenges and progress of the Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Experiment (HEPEX) following the third HEPEX workshop held in Stresa 27 to 29 June 2007, Atmos. Sci. Let. 9: 29–35
  • Bartholmes, J., Thielen J. , and Kalas M. (2008) "Forecasting medium-range flood hazard on European scale", Georisk Vol.2, No.4, December 2008, 0-00
  • Thielen, J., Bartholmes, J., Ramos, M.-H., De Roo, A. (2008) The European Flood Alert System - Part 1: Concept and development, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 5 (1), pp. 257-287
  • Bartholmes, J.C., Thielen, J., Ramos, M.H., Gentilini, S. (2008) The European Flood Alert System EFAS - Part 2: Statistical skill assessment of probabilistic and deterministic operational forecasts, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 5 (1), pp. 289-322
  • Kalas, M., Ramos, M.-H., Thielen, J., Babiakova, G. (2008) Evaluation of the medium-range European flood forecasts for the March-April 2006 flood in the Morava River, J. Hydrol. Hydromech J. Hydrol. Hydromech, 56, 2008, 2,
  • Pappenberger F, Bartholmes J, Thielen J, Cloke HL, Buizza R, de Roo A (2008) New dimensions in early flood warning across the globe using grand-ensemble weather predictions. Geophysical Research Letters. 35, L10404, doi:10.1029/2008GL033837
  • Rojas, R., L. Feyen, A. Dassargues, 2008. Conceptual model uncertainty in groundwater modeling: Combining generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation and Bayesian model averaging, Water Resources Research, 44, W12418, doi:10.1029/2008WR006908.
  • Feyen, L., M. Kalas, J. A. Vrugt, 2008. The value of semi-distributed parameters for large-scale streamflow simulation using global optimization, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 53(2), 293-308.
  • Feyen L., J.I. Barredo, R. Dankers, 2008. Implications of Global Warming and Urban Land Use Change on Flooding in Europe. In: Water and Urban Development Paradigms - Towards an Integration of Engineering, Design and Management Approaches. Leiden (The Netherlands): CRC Press - Balkema; p. 217-225.

  • Barredo, J.I. and Gómez Delgado, M. (2008)
    Towards a set of IPCC SRES urban land-use scenarios: Modelling urban land-use in the Madrid region.
    In: M. Paegelow and M.T. Camacho olmedo (Eds.), Modelling Environmental Dynamics, Springer, pp. 363-385.

  • Barredo, J., Salamon, P., Bódis, K. (2008) Towards an assessment of coastal flood damage potential in Europe.
    European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre,
    Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Ispra, Italy, p. 30. EUR 23698 EN

  • Barredo, J.I., Salamon, P., Feyen, L., Dankers, R., Bódis, K., De Roo, A. (2008)
    Flood damage potential in Europe. Map. Institute for Environment and Sustainability,
    European Commission - Joint Research Centre, Ispra. Catalogue number: LB-30-08-670-EN-C,
    ISBN: 978-92-79-09769-0, Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities.

  • Dankers R., L. Feyen (2008) Climate change impact on flood hazard in Europe: An assessment based on high-resolution climate simulations Journal of Geophysical Research, 113, D19105, doi:10.1029/2007JD009719.

  • Dankers, R., R. Hiederer (2008) Extreme Temperatures and Precipitations in Europe:
    Analysis of a High Resolution Climate Change Scenario    .
    European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre,
    Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Ispra, Italy, p. 66. EUR 23291 EN

  • Gierk, M., K. Bodis, J. Younis, J. Szabo and Ad de Roo (2008)
    The impact of retention polders, dyke-shifts and reservoirs on discharge in the Elbe river,
    Hydrological modelling study in the framework of the Action Plan for the Flood Protection in the Elbe River Basin
    of the International Commission for the Protection of the Elbe River (ICPER)
    European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre,
    Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Ispra, Italy, p. 110. EUR 23699 EN

  • Pappenberger, F., Thielen, J., Bartholmes, J., and Anghel, E. (2008)
    TIGGE: Medium Range multi model weather forecast ensembles in Flood Forecasting (A Case Study), Technical Memorandum, European Centre For Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, 2008.

  • Pappenberger, F., Ghelli, A., Bodis, K., Buizza, R. (2008)
    The skill of probabilistic precipitation prediction under observational uncertainties.
    Meteorological Applications, in press.

  • Ramos, M.H., Thielen, J., Pappenberger, F. (2008) Utilisation de la prévision météorologique d'ensemble pour la prévision hydrologique opérationnelle et l'alerte aux crues. Proceedings SHF Colloque Hydrotechnique "Prévisions Hydrométéorologiques", Lyon, 18-19/11/2008, pp. 191-199 [in French]. ISBN 2-906831-75-1, Societe Hydrotechnique de France, Paris, 2008.

  • Van Der Knijff, J. M., Younis, J. and De Roo, A. P. J.(2008) LISFLOOD: a GIS-based distributed model for river basin scale water balance and flood simulation, International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 99999:1, DOI: 10.1080/13658810802549154

  • Younis, J., S. Anquetin and J. Thielen (2008)
    The Benefit of High-Resolution operational Weather Forecasts for Flash Flood Warning,
    Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 12, 1039-1051, 2008
    Abstract    Final Paper (PDF, 5653 KB)   

  • Younis, J., Ramos, M.H., Thielen, J. (2008) EFAS Forecasts for The March-April 2006 Flood In The Czech Part Of The Elbe River Basin - A Case Study. ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 9:88-94 (2008).

  • Younis, J., Thielen, J. (2008)
    Early Flash Flood Warning: A feasibility study with a distributed hydrological model and threshold exceedance    .
    European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre,
    Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Ispra, Italy, p. 55. EUR 23637 EN

2007

Papers

Conferences

  • Dankers, R., L. Feyen, A. De Roo, o. Christensen (2007) Climate Change Impact on Extreme Precipitation and Flood Hazard in Europe - In: EGU General Assembly, Austria Center, Vienna (Austria), Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol.9, pages 8464, Copernicus GMBH (Publ.), Katlenburg-Lindau

  • Dankers, R., L. Feyen, o. Christensen, A. De Roo (2007) Future Changes in Flood Hazard in Europe - In: Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Climate and Water, Marina Congress Center, Helsinki, Finland, pages 115-120, Finnish Environment Institute (Publ.), Helsinki

  • Feyen, L., R. Dankers, J. Barredo Cano, A. De Roo, C. Lavalle, o. Christensen (2007) Climate Change and Flood Hazard in Europe - Time to Adapt - Climate Change and the European Water Dimension. Vulnerability - Impacts; Adaptation , Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology, Invalidenstr. 48, 10115 Berlin

  • Vogt, J. V., Soille, P., de Jager, A., Rimaviciute, E., Mehl, W., Haastrup, P., Paracchini, M. L., Dusart, J., Bodis, K., Foisneau, S. Bamps, C. (2007) Developing a pan-European Data Base of Drainage Networks and Catchment Boundaries from a 100 Metre DEM, In: Proceedings of 10th AGILE International Conference on Geographic Information Science, 8-11 May 2007, Aalborg, Denmark

2006

Papers

  • Feyen, L., R. Dankers, J. Barredo Cano, A. De Roo, C. Lavalle (2006) Climate Change and Floods in Europe - In: Climate Change Impacts on the Water Cycle, Resources and Quality Research-Policy Interface, Scientific and policy report (EUR 22422), Brussels, pages 37-43, Directorate-General for Research (Publ.), Brussels

  • Feyen, L., Dankers, R., Barredo, J. I., Kalas, M., Bódis, K., de Roo, A., Lavalle, C. (2006)
    PESETA, Projections of economic impacts of climate change in sectors of Europe based on bottom-up analysis,
    Flood risk in Europe in a changing climate European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre,
    Institute for Environment and Sustainability Ispra, Italy, p. 20. EUR 22313 EN

  • Sagris, V., Lavalle, C., Bódis, K., Kasanko, M. (2006)
    The development of integrated databases for environmental and natural risk assessment in the area of the Tisza River, European Commission, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability Ispra, Italy, p.36. EUR 22555 EN

Conferences

  • Dankers, R., L. Feyen, o. Christensen, A. De Roo (2006) Simulating Floods and Droughts in European River Basins Using Very High Resolution Climate Model Data and a Spatially Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Model - European Geosciences Union (EGU), General Assembly 2006, Vienna, Austria

  • Dankers, R., L. Feyen, o. Christensen, A. De Roo (2006) An Integrated Modeling Framework to Assess Future Changes in Flood and Drought Risks on a Pan-European Scale - European Geosciences Union (EGU), General Assembly 2006, Vienna, Austria

  • Dankers, R., L. Feyen, M. Kalas, o. Christensen, A. De Roo (2006) Climate Change Impact on Flood and Drought Risks in the Danube Basin: an Integrated Modeling Study - In: Conference Proceedings / The 23rd Conference of the Danubian Countries on the Hydrological Forecasting and Hydrological Bases of Water Management, Belgrade, Republic of Serbia, 28-31 August 2006, Belgrade (Serbia), pages 1-11, Republic Hydrometeorological Service: Institute for the Development of Water Resources Jaroslav Cerni; National Committee of Serbia for the International Hydrological Programme of UNESCo (Publ.), Belgrade (Serbia)

  • Middelkoop, H., R. Dankers (2006) Simulating the Hydrological Cycle of Northernmost Europe using Different Model Approaches - In: European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2006, Vienna, Austria, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol.8, pages 8300, Copernicus Publications (Publ.), Katlenburg-Lindau (Germany) - PB/2006/IES/4434

  • Thielen, J., J. Bartholmes, M.H. Ramos, Ad de Roo, M. Kalas (ECW 2006)
    Increasing preparedness for fluvial floods - Development of a European Flood Alert System (EFAS)

  • Thielen, J., J. Bartholmes, M.H. Ramos, Ad de Roo, M. Kalas, (EGU 2006)
    Multiple weather forecast inputs for increased preparedness for floods in European rivers

2005

Papers

Conferences

2004

Papers

  • Pappenberger F., K. Beven, de Roo A., Thielen J., Gouweleeuw B. (2004),
    Uncertaitny analysis of the rainfall runoff model LisFlood within the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) Int. J. River Basin Management Vol. 2, No2 (204), pp.1-11

  • Gouweleeuw, B., Thielen, J., De Roo, A., Cloke, H., Van der Knijff, J., Franchello, G., (2004)
    Evaluation of a 4 decade pan-European database of surface precipitation for river low modelling,
    Remote Sensing for Environmental Monitoring, GIS Applications and Geology IV, Eds., Ehlers, M. and Kaufmann H.J., Proc. SPIE, Vol. 5574, 61-70.

  • Gouweleeuw, B., Thielen, J., De Roo, A., Cloke, H., Van der Knijff, J., Franchello, G., (2004)
    Evaluation of river flow in Europe over the last 4 decades using ERA40,
    Remote Sensing for Agriculture, Ecosystems, and Hydrology VI, Eds. Owe, M., D'Urso, G., Jochum, A. and Gouweleeuw, B., Proc. SPIE, Vol. 5568, 92-101.

  • Gouweleeuw, B., De Roo, A., Reggiani, P. (eds.) (2004)
    The European Flood Forecasting Project, European Commission, EUR 21208.

  • Gouweleeuw, B., Thielen, J., de Roo, A., and Buizza, R. (2004)
    Flood forecasting using probabilistic weather predictions,
    Hydrology and Earth System Science (in press)

Conferences

2003

Papers

Conferences

  • J. Thielen, A. de Roo, G. Schmuck (Ed.) (2003)

    First LISFLOOD Alert Workshop - Practical benefit from European Research; Barza, Italy, March 27-28, 2003

  • J. Thielen, A. de Roo, M. Gierk (2003)
    A Brief Introduction into the LISFLOOD Modeling System.
    In: Proceedings of the Conference "WATER BERLIN 2003", 7-11 April 2003, Berlin (Germany); oRA/PRo 63805 Ispra (Italy)

2002

Papers

  • A. de Roo, J. Thielen, G. Schmuck (2002)
    Supporting EU Strategies on Floods; Environmental and GEo Information Newsletter; Vol. 2, Nr. 1(2002), SPI01161, European Commission, 5-6

Conferences

2001

Conferences

 

 
Last Updated on Friday, 02 December 2011 15:27